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Call me skeptical

Sunday, December 20, 2020

I've followed the emergence and unfolding of the pandemic for nearly a year now. I first became aware that a pandemic might be in the making between Christmas 2019 and New Year's Day 2020.

With the second vaccine shipping out today in the United States I see pronounced timelines of vaccinations for all continuing to slide. Not surprised. These pronouncements have been met with skepticism on my part from the get go.

So, although the earlier pronouncements that the general public could expect to be vaccinated by spring/summer have now given way to pronouncements that we can expect such a situation by summer/fall, I'm still hearing and reading reports that the expectation is that 20,000,000 (yes ... that's 20 million) folks are expected to be vaccinated by December 31, 2020.

What planet are these folks living on?

How tenuous is their grip on reality?

The skeptic in me says: No way! That ain't happenin'.

It's been a week since the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine was rolled out in the United States. We've managed to vaccinate roughly 250,000 folks.

So, is it realistic to expect that between now and year's end we'll manage to vaccinate 80 times as many folks each week over the next 11 days to meet that 20 million mark?

I think not.

It's taken the State of California essentially 11 months to test 29,112,249 folks for covid-19. Our health care professionals are fighting to save the lives of those crushing our hospitals with no 'cavalry' coming to support their efforts.

So, who is it that's going to get 20 million folks vaccinated in 11 days when it's taken the most populous state in the nation 11+ months to administer 29 million covid-19 tests?

I know. I know. Testing and vaccinating are not the same thing. And, nationwide many more covid-19 tests have been administered. I'm simply using the state in which I live for comparison's sake.

I expect the PPE to support the vaccination efforts may be a challenge since adequate PPE supplies to support the frontline health care efforts remains challenging.

Let's be real okay ...

Seriously ...

Okay, I've vented.

Moving right along ...

Fog is lifting as the sun pushes through. Cedar waxwings have graced us with the presence this morning and I hear the white-crowned sparrows signing away. It was flocks of geese heard flying overhead in yesterday morning's fog that brought a smile to my face.

Happy to have the birds still present in my life ...
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Member Comments About This Blog Post
    67 days ago
    Throughout this pandemic I have always preferred the realistic assessment of the scientific and medical communities to the "let's bury our heads and ridicule the warnings" of some segments of our society and government.

    I have a spreadsheet of data gathered from Johns Hopkins and state boards of health that I have updated daily since March 15th. I used to include countries on my travel list, but they wisely won't let us in anyway so I stopped.

    Just like my weight situation, putting on a fake happy face and refusing to get on the scale does not end well. I must be realistic.

    Our state is one of the 14 getting THOUSANDS fewer doses of the vaccine than initially promised.
    The list is an interesting read in itself.

    I agree with you that 20 million sounds like one of those "don't worry about it" communiques coming from the top during the early days of this pandemic.

    Hope is good, of course, but hope tempered by realism.

    Take care of yourself.

    68 days ago
    You are being totally realistic Jean. The message that must continue is that restrictive protocols must remain.

    Enjoy the birds; I am amazed daily by the antics of crows and shorebirds "playing" in the breezes above the ocean. emoticon
    69 days ago
    I think the predictions really count on a bunch of the other vaccines in the works getting approved and distributed quickly as well! Fingers crossed that things go smoothly! I don't want a whole extra year of this!
    69 days ago
  • BJAEGER307
    69 days ago
    69 days ago
    You are realistic . . . and all we can hope is "as quickly as possible". And that when people are offered, they accept the vaccine willingly.

    Yes, birds: I enjoy them every day too. Same ol' same ol' birds or new birds: no matter. Always interesting!!
    69 days ago
  • NANCY-
    I don't think you are a skeptic... You are a realist. Hope lives now that there is progress.
    69 days ago
    With all that is going on and continuing to play out nature is still a wonderful 'interlude' to have :)
    69 days ago
    Another skeptic here.
    69 days ago
  • LSIG14
    Yes, the predicted timeline for vaccinations are a dream rather than a reality but at least there is a glimmer of light on the horizon. I, for one, will be standing in line (with my mask on, of course) waiting for my turn to get it, whenever it is offered. Stay patient and safe..."and this, too, shall pass!" Wishing you a Merry Christmas and a wonderful New Year!
    69 days ago
    Okay then
    69 days ago
    Maybe the number quoted is for world-wide vaccinations...

    On a positive note our numbers in Montana are trending down, still high in some areas, but lowering. It will be interesting to see what happens after Christmas and New Years. I didn't see the spike I expected after Thanksgiving.


    Merry Christmas!
    69 days ago
  • RAMONA1954
    Sadly I agree that 20 million vaccinated by years end is a pipe dream. I've heard very little about it here in Kentucky. I do know I have 2 cousins who were in the testing phase. One got the 2 shots if the vaccine, the other the placebo.
    69 days ago
    Ca sadly only agree w/your every word.
    69 days ago
    Yeah, some of us are settled in for the long haul. It's going to be a while before even those of us "over 65" get a poke... those of us who are willing to get it! Yeah, those timelines have been greeted with a slant-eye here, too. Patience, and stay safe as we can! emoticon
    69 days ago
    At least there is hope on the horizon even though your scepticism may be well founded.
    69 days ago
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